Monday 11 April 2016

Still a bear market?

Despite the stock market rally in recent weeks, Steve Reitmeister at Zacks thinks a bear market is still on the way.

This is currently the 3rd longest bull market of the last 25. Thus, long in the tooth. Plus it is showing the same topping formations discovered in the charts of the last 5 bear markets. Plus economic data is lower than when we last made new highs with near recession level GDP estimates for Q1-2016. And earnings growth has gone negative. All wrapped in a stock market that is above historical valuation norms giving little reason to rise more.

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