Tuesday 2 August 2011

Manufacturing near stagnation in US, Europe and China

The US debt deal got closer to approval on Monday. Bloomberg reports:

The House approved legislation to raise the U.S. debt limit by at least $2.1 trillion and cut federal spending by $2.4 trillion or more, one day before a threatened default.

The House voted 269-161 for the plan negotiated by leaders and President Barack Obama over the weekend. Ninety-five Democrats voted in favor and 66 Republicans in opposition. The measure goes to the Senate for a final vote planned tomorrow.

The US economy, however, is moving closer to recession. Again from Bloomberg:

Manufacturing in the U.S. almost stalled in July, threatening to deprive the two-year recovery of one of its main drivers.

The Institute for Supply Management’s factory index slumped to 50.9, the lowest since July 2009, from 55.3 a month earlier, the Tempe, Arizona-based group said today. Figures less than 50 signal contraction, and the July index was lower than the most pessimistic forecast in a Bloomberg News survey.

Construction turned out to be a bright spot in July.

A Commerce Department report today showed construction spending rose for a third straight month in June, led by a gain in nonresidential building. The 0.2 percent increase followed a 0.3 percent revised gain that was previously reported as a decrease.

However, the manufacturing slowdown was the main story in the rest of the world. From Reuters:

Factories in Asia and Europe expanded in July at the weakest rate since major industrial powers were struggling through the 2009 recession, adding to concerns over world growth...

The euro zone manufacturing PMI, which gauges the activities of thousands of businesses, fell to 50.4 in July from 52.0 in June -- its worst showing since September 2009 and barely above the 50 mark dividing growth and contraction.

Perhaps more worryingly, China's official government PMI dropped to 50.7 from 50.9 in June, its weakest in more than two years, while the HSBC PMI fell below the 50 mark for the first time in a year -- to 49.3 in July from 51.6...

Even in the UK, which so far has been shielded from the crisis gripping the euro zone, the manufacturing PMI fell to 49.1 from 51.4 in June -- the first time below the 50 mark since the country was in recession two years ago...

Indian manufacturing growth slowed in July for the third month in a row. The HSBC PMI dropped to 53.6, from 55.3 in June, the lowest level since November 2009.

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